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SNP and Scottish Labour neck-and-neck in first STV voters’ poll

The gap between the two leading parties could not be closer, according to a survey of 1000 Scottish voters.

28 March 2011 18:00 GMT

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The race between the two parties most likely to win the battle for Holyrood could not be closer, according to a poll conducted for STV.

A survey of 1028 adults showed that 38% of those who were committed to voting on May 5 would use their constituency vote for Scottish Labour if the election were to take place tomorrow. The SNP, meanwhile, trailed by a single point, with 37% saying they would use their vote to support Alex Salmond’s party.

The Scottish Conservatives came third in the poll, with 15%, while 7% would vote for the Scottish Liberal Democrats. Other parties accounted for the remaining 3% of those polled.

SNP and Scottish Labour neck-and-neck in first STV voters’ poll

The results were even closer when the regional vote is considered, with the SNP and Labour each gaining the support of 35% of those who said they would definitely be voting.

The Conservatives again came third, with 14%, while the Lib Dems gained 8% and Scottish Green Party came fifth with 5%. Again, other parties received 3% of support from those taking part.

STV's Political Editor Bernard Ponsonby said: “Labour will be pleased that their vote appears to be holding up well. The SNP will be even more pleased because they are continuing to close the gap.

“For the Tories it's a relief that they appear to be doing okay - not advancing but okay. It's a disaster for the Liberal Democrats who must be seriously worried because most polls are predicting disaster.

“Good news for the Greens who are registering on the list. But a word of warning. There are still a lot of voters undecided, and of course intentions can change as the campaign gets underway.”

The survey, by researchers from Edinburgh-based TSN-BRMB, included voters from 55 constituencies, and was weighted to match population profile estimates in order to ensure it was representative of Scotland’s adult population.

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    1. 28 Mar 2011 20:20soosider said

    This poll seems consistent with the full polls conducted over the last few months, which all showed the gap closing. However did not expect the gap to close so quickly and so early in the campaign

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    2. 28 Mar 2011 22:54soosider said

    This poll is consistent with full polls conducted over the last few months, all have shown a closing of the gap between Labour and the SNP, but for it to all but have disappeared so quickly is remarkable.

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    3. 29 Mar 2011 00:04Andy2020 said

    Not surprising the SNP are closing the gap.

    It's a choice between more powers for Scotland - or the next 5 years at a standstill with 'Scottish' Labour taking orders from their london bosses..

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